This last edition has marked a turnaround in the predictions of La Liga Santander. Although for many years the league had ceased to be a matter of just 2 teams, becoming a matter of 3, in the previous edition everything was blurred. Especially after a bad season for Barcelona and Atlético, we see that only 8 points separated the 2nd (Barça) from the 5th (Real), a figure that had exceeded 20 points in the two previous editions. In addition, Madrid had a goal difference of 49, but Barcelona remained at 30 and Atlético, Sevilla and Betis around 20. In this sense, handicap bets, far from losing importance, take more teams as possible candidates:

• Madrid has won 12 games with more than one goal
• Barcelona has won more than 10 games with more than one goal
• Betis won 11 games with more than one goal
• Atlético won 9 games with more than one goal
• Sevilla won 8 games with more than one goal

What does this mean? That 5 of the participants have a considerable probability of winning by more than one goal, especially in home matches. But this figure should be taken with particular caution, since these are figures from the previous season. They are an interesting reference, but always in contrast to the figures that show the concrete days of the competition.

Predictions for La Liga: increasingly defensive

One of the most profitable markets in La Liga betting is the goal markets. While it is true that years ago (always looking at the two teams) a bet on +2.5 goals was profitable, today it is not so much. In the 2021/22 edition there were 2.5 goals per game, very similar to the two previous editions (2.51 and 2.47 respectively). Curiously, in the 2017/18 season an average of 2.69 goals were scored per game and in 2018/19 only 2.58. Apart from certain teams that used to lower this average, a bet on a winner combined with +2.5 goals was a good resource in most games. On the contrary, you should go with lead feet on these bets. The league is changing!

This is perfectly illustrated by FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. The Catalans scored 99 goals five years ago and Madrid 94, four years ago 90 and 63, three years ago 86 and 70, two years ago 85 and 67 and last year 58 and 80. The downward trend of the big teams is clear. Will we leave behind leagues of 80-100 goals among the big teams? Will we return to ranges of 60-70? If that happens, betting on -2.5 goals or less handicaps can be resources to make your predictions for league matches. Of course, always supported with the specific data of each edition.

Sweep away your La Liga bets!

But beyond the LaLiga statistics in a specific season (as we say, in this case we are looking at the 2021/22 season), it is interesting to learn how to deal with certain trends that become LaLiga statistics every year. All these LaLiga statistics only refer to the current season, yes, and they will certainly vary in the following ones. Every year each team will behave differently, and probably Atlético de Madrid will concede more goals or Real Madrid will concede less.

But the most important thing is to realize that by recognizing these patterns as soon as possible after the launch of LaLiga, we will discover betting opportunities that seemed hidden at the beginning of the football season. And on many occasions, these opportunities are accompanied by odds that can be very interesting, especially in the first weeks, since they depend on the “status” or theoretical level of the teams, without paying too much attention to their recent performances in the competition.

So these examples should show us that using these formulas for LaLiga statistics and also other types of information that we must always take into account when betting day after day in the championship (sheets, rotations, needs punctuality of each team, moment of form, etc.), we will end up dealing with such an amount of information that if we organize it just a bit, we will be way ahead of the majority in terms of having an advantage when betting on LaLiga. All this together with the LaLiga predictions that we offer you will bring us much closer to what we want, which is to win in the long term and constantly minimize our losses.